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Latest Presidential Poll (Before the Storm)

Before the Storm: The Presidential Race

October 25-28, 2012

 

·     In polling conducted before Hurricane Sandy hit the east coast, the presidential contest shows little movement and remains close. President Barack Obama holds just a one point lead over Mitt Romney, within the poll’s margin of error. 

 

·     In this poll, Romney is viewed as stronger on the economy. The President does better on foreign policy areas, but his lead over Romney has narrowed on some measures. President Obama continues to have an advantage on empathy, but more see Romney as a strong leader.

 

·     Women now support President Obama by eight points, while Romney has a seven point lead among men.  Independents support Romney as well.

 

The Presidential Race

 

The poll was conducted in the days before Hurricane Sandy made landfall on the East Coast. In the poll, the presidential election remains close and little changed.  President Obama has just a one point lead among likely voters, within the poll’s margin of error.  Results of a CBS News Poll released last week were similar.

 

2012 Vote for President

(Among likely voters)

10/30 10/22  9/2012

Barack Obama 48%    48 %    49%

Mitt Romney  47    46    46

Undecided    3      4      4

 

With just a week to go before the election, 10% of likely voters are still uncommitted, saying they are either undecided or could change their minds about who to vote for. 

 

Enthusiasm about voting is higher among supporters of Mitt Romney than it is among those supporting President Obama.

 

Enthusiastic about Voting

(Among likely voters)

  Obama voters Romney voters

Very    59%   68%

  Somewhat   29   20

Not too/not at all  11   11

 

Most likely voters now claim to be paying a lot of attention to the campaign, including similar percentages of Obama and Romney voters. 

 

 

Attention to the Campaign

(Among likely voters)

  Obama voters Romney voters

A lot   78%   79%

Some   17   20

Not much/none   5     1

 

About nine in 10 of each candidate’s supporters say their mind is made up.

 

Who is Supporting Who?

 

There is still a gender gap in the race: women support the President, while men support Romney, although each candidate’s lead is in single digits.

 

Each candidate gets strong support from their respective political parties, but Mitt Romney now holds a lead among the swing voting group of independents.

 

Romney retains the support of white voters, while the President enjoys strong support from non-whites.

 

Who Would You Vote for if the Candidates Were…?

(Among likely voters)

Obama Romney 

Total   48%  47%  

 

Men   44%  51  

Women  52%  44  

 

Republicans   6%  91   

Democrats  93%   5  

Independents  39%  51  

 

Whites   39%  56

Non-whites  83%  14

 

The Candidates on the Issues

 

Mitt Romney now leads the president on the economy by six points; the two candidates were running closer on this issue earlier this month.

 

Romney continues his advantage on handling the deficit (and has widened it). He also leads the President on handling illegal immigration.

 

President Obama leads his Republican rival on foreign policy and terrorism, but his lead on those issues has narrowed. He also has an advantage on the issues of Medicare and abortion.

 

The candidates are close on taxes and health care.

 

 

Who Will Do a Better Job?

(Among likely voters)

Now    Previously 

Obama Romney Obama Romney

Economy and jobs 45%  51  45%  48 (10/22)

Foreign policy  49%  44  50%  41 (10/22)

Terrorism & security 49%  44  49%  42 (10/22)

Budget deficit  39%  54  42%  48 (10/22)

Health care  48%  45  50%  46 (9/14)

Taxes   46%  47  48%  46  (9/14)

Medicare  51%  42  50%  43 (9/14)

Abortion  51%  39  n/a  n/a

Illegal immigration 42%  48  n/a  n/a

 

The President continues to be seen as the candidate who would do more to help the middle class.

 

Who Will Do More to Help the Middle Class?

(Among likely voters)

Now  9/14 

Obama   52%  54%

Romney   43  40

 

Romney, however, has an advantage on the issue of bipartisanship. By a large margin, voters think Romney rather than the President would work better with both Republicans and Democrats in Congress.

 

Who Will Work Better with Republicans & Democrats In Congress?

(Among likely voters)

All  Reps Dems Inds

Obama  39%   6% 80% 27% 

Romney  50  89  8 57

 

Voters’ views of the two candidates differ sharply on corporate taxes.  80% think President Obama would raise taxes on business if he were re-elected; 70% think Mitt Romney would not do so if he becomes president.  About half think each man would raise taxes on people like them if elected.

 

Would He Raise Taxes on…

(Among likely voters)

People like you Businesses 

Obama would   50%   80%   

Obama would not  42   15

 

Romney would  52%   23%

Romney would not  44   70

 

Candidate Qualities

 

As has been the case throughout this campaign, President Obama continues to have an advantage over Romney on empathy: A majority says he understands the needs and problems of people like them. The President enjoys an even larger advantage when asked specifically about the needs of women in the workforce. However, more voters think Romney has strong qualities of leadership than say that about the President.

 

Obama vs. Romney: Empathy and Leadership

(Among likely voters)

Obama Romney

Strong qualities of leadership

Yes   59%  67%  

No   39  30

Understands needs and problems

Yes   59%  49%

No   39  48

Understands needs & problems of

women in workforce

Yes   66%  46%

No   29  50

 

But some voters perceive Romney as pandering to voters. 54% of likely voters say Romney says what people want to hear, while 42% thinks he says what he believes. Views of the President on this characteristic are more closely divided.

 

Do the Candidates Mostly Say…

(Among likely voters)

Obama Romney

What he believes   50%  42%

What people want to hear  47  54

 

On handling an international crisis, more voters express a lot of confidence in the President than in Romney.

 

Confidence in Handling an International Crisis

(Among likely voters)

Barack Obama Mitt Romney

Now 10/22  Now 10/22 

A lot   40% 38%  30%  30% 

Some   22 24  27  28 

A little   15 15   15  16 

None at all  22 22   26  25 

 

More than half of voters think each candidate has made it clear what he would accomplish if elected, but four in ten disagree.

 

Made Clear What They Would Accomplish

(Among likely voters)

Obama Romney

Yes   57%  53%

No   41  46

 

Overall, more than four in 10 likely voters describe each candidate’s positions as being about right.  42% think the President’s views are too liberal, while 35% think Romney’s are too conservative.

 

Among moderates, six in 10 say the President’s positions are about right. Fewer say that about Romney. In fact, 44% of moderates think Romney’s positions are too conservative for them.

 

Obama’s Views on Issues…

(Among likely voters)

All Lib Mod Cons

Too liberal   42%  2% 31% 74%

Not liberal enough    9 23  6  6

About right   46 75 60 17

 

Romney’s Views on Issues…

(Among likely voters)

All Lib Mod Cons

Too conservative  35% 75% 44%  7%

Not conservative enough 15   9 10 23

About right   45  9 40 68

 

The Debates

 

Two in three likely voters say the presidential and vice presidential debates have been important in their presidential vote decision, including 34% who say the debates have been very important.

 

Among those who say they were important, Romney has a slight lead, 51% to 45%, over President Obama.

 

The President

 

The Obama administration receives negative marks for their handling of the recent attacks in Libya.  Just 39% of Americans approve of how they have handled that, and more, 45%, disapprove. About three in 4 Americans have heard or read a lot about the attacks. 

 

Obama Administration’s Handling of Libya Attacks

(Among all)

All Reps Dems Inds

Approve  39% 12% 66% 32%

Disapprove  45 77 18 48

 

Evaluations of the administration on this measure are more negative among likely voters.  Just 38% of them approve, and 51% disapprove, including 57% of independents.

 

The President’s approval rating overall is 50%; 42% disapprove.

___________________________________________________________________

This poll was conducted by telephone from October 25-28, 2012 among 898 adults nationwide, including 798 registered voters. The sample size for likely voters is 563. Not all likely voters are assigned the same probability of voting. Phone numbers were dialed from samples of both standard land-line and cell phones.  CBS News and The New York Times originally intended for the interviewing for this poll to continue through Tuesday evening. By Sunday the demographic characteristics of the sample were similar to what would have been expected had interviewing continued.

 

The error due to sampling for results based on the entire sample could be plus or minus three percentage points.  Among registered voters and likely voters, the error due to sampling could be plus or minus four percentage points. The error for subgroups may be higher. Percentages may not add to 100% due to rounding. This poll release conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

 

 

CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL

Before the Storm: The Presidential Race

October 25 – 28, 2012

 

>attn< How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2012 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far?                            

 

    ** LIKELY VOTERS **

                                        ***** Party ID ***** 

                                Total   Rep     Dem    Ind 

                                  %        %     %     %

A lot       78  80  79  73  

Some       19  19  15  22

Not much       3    1   5   4

No attention so far     0    0   0   0

DK/NA        0    0   0   0

 

q1 Thinking about November's presidential election, overall, would you say you are very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all about voting?

 

Very                          62      72     67      49

Somewhat                      24      16     26      29

Not too                        9       8      5      15

Not at all                     3       1      2       5

DK/NA                          2       2      1       2

 

q2 Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in the 2012 presidential election this year -- are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?

 

More enthusiastic             50      60     43      47

Less enthusiastic             14       9      8      25

Same                          36      31     48     27

DK/NA                          1       0      1       0

 

q3 HELD FOR FUTURE RELEASE

 

q4/q5 If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney for President and Paul Ryan for Vice President, the Republicans, would you vote for Barack Obama and Joe Biden or Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? If “DEPENDS” or “DON’T KNOW”:  Well as of today, do you lean more toward Barack Obama and Joe Biden or more toward Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan?

 

Obama/Biden                   48       6     93      39

Romney/Ryan                   47      91      5      51

Won't vote (Vol.)              0       0      0       1

Other (Vol.)                   1       0      0       2

DK/NA                          3       2      1       7

 

 

 

q6 Is your mind made up or is it still too early to say for sure? 

 

** LIKELY VOTERS  **

Obama  Romney

                             Total    Voters Voters

                               %      %   %                 

Mind made up                  93       90      95     

Too early to say for sure      7       10        4     

DK/NA                          0         0        0      

 

q7 HELD FOR FUTURE RELEASE

 

q8 Would you describe your support for [Selected Candidate] as strongly favoring [Selected Candidate], or do you like [Selected Candidate] but with reservations, or do you support [Selected Candidate] because you dislike [Candidate NOT Selected]?

 

LIKELY VOTERS  **

Obama  Romney

                             Total    Voters Voters

                               %      %   %         

Strongly favor                63      68  57

Like but with reservations    22     19  25

Dislike other candidate       14       12  17

Don't know/No answer           1        1   1

 

q9 Regardless of how you intend to vote for President in 2012, who do you expect to finally win the 2012 presidential election-Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?

 

                               ** LIKELY VOTERS **

                                     ***** Party ID ***** 

                             Total   Rep     Dem     Ind 

                               %      %       %       %

Mitt Romney                   36      70      6      37

Barack Obama                  49      15     83      44

Depends (Vol.)                 4       2      4       7

Don't know/No answer          11      13      7      12

 

q10 As far as making progress on the important issues facing the country is concerned, does it really matter who wins the 2012 presidential election, or will things be pretty much the same regardless of who is elected president?

 

* REGISTERED VOTERS *

                                       ***** Party ID ***** 

                                Total   Rep     Dem     Ind 

                               %      %       %       %

Really matters who wins         72      76     78      61

Things will pretty much same    25      21     17      36

DK/NA                            3       3      4       3

 

 

 

 

 

 

q12/Q13 If the 2012 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?/ Well as of today, do you lean more toward the Republican candidate or more toward the Democratic candidate?

 

                                    ** LIKELY VOTERS **

                                       **** Party ID ***** 

                             Total   Rep     Dem     Ind 

                               %      %       %       % 

Republican                    46      91      4      49

Democratic                    48       7     94      38

Other (vol.)                   0       0      0       1

Won't Vote (vol.)              0       0      0       1

Depends (vol.)                 3       1      2       7

DK/NA                          2       2      1       4

 

q14 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?   

*** TOTAL RESPONDENTS ***

                                       ***** Party ID ***** 

                              Total   Rep    Dem     Ind 

                               %      %      %       %

Approve                       50       9     89      42

Disapprove                    42      88      5      44

DK/NA                          8       3      5      13

 

q15 Do you feel things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track?    

 

Right direction               39       6     73      30

Wrong track                   54      89     17      63

DK/NA                          7       4     10       7

 

q16 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling foreign policy? 

 

Approve                       47      11     81     41

Disapprove                    41      83      7      44

DK/NA                         12       6     12      16

 

q17 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? 

 

Approve                       46       9     83      37

Disapprove                    47      88     10      53

DK/NA                          7       3      7      10

 

q18 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job?    

 

Approve                       15      17     18      11

Disapprove                    75      73     71      79

DK/NA                         10      10     10      10

 

 

 

 

 

 

q19 How would you rate the condition of the national economy these days? Is it very good, fairly good, fairly bad, or very bad?

 

** TOTAL RESPONDENTS  **

                                     ***** Party ID ****

                             Total   Rep     Dem     Ind 

                               %       %       %       %                 

Very good                      2       0      6       0

Fairly good                   30      11     50      24

Fairly bad                    36      39     31      38

Very bad                      31      49     12      36

DK/NA                          1       1      1       2

 

q20 Do you think the economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? 

    

Better                        36      13     63      27

Worse                         28      47      6      35

Same                          35      39     30      37

DK/NA                          1       1      2       0

 

q22 Which comes closest to your view about the tax cuts passed in 2001 and 2003? 1. The tax cuts should be continued for everyone. 2. The tax cuts should only continue for household incomes under $250,000 a year. 3.The tax cuts should expire for everyone.

    

                                    

Continue for all              35      56     20      33

Continue for under $250,000   42      28     53      41

Expire for all                15      11     20      14

Don't know/No answer           8       5      7      11

 

q23 Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are currently working in the U.S.? 1. They should be allowed to stay in their jobs and to eventually apply for U.S. citizenship. 2. They should be allowed to stay in their jobs only as guest workers, but not to apply for U.S. citizenship. 3. They should be required to leave their jobs and leave the U.S.

 

Allowed to stay and apply     51      39     67      44

Stay as guest worker          20      21     16      23

Required to leave             24      33     14      28

Don't know/No answer           5       7      3       6

 

q24 Overall, what do you think is the best way to reduce the federal budget deficit--by cutting federal spending, by increasing taxes, or by a combination of both?

                                   

Cut federal spending          30      46     18      30

Raising taxes                  2       2      1       2

Combination of both           64      50     77      61

Don't know/No answer           5       2      5       6

 

 

 

 

q27 Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Barack Obama yet to have an opinion?  

 

** LIKELY VOTERS  **

                                       ***** Party ID ***** 

                             Total   Rep     Dem     Ind 

                               %      %       %       %

Favorable                     46       5     91      35

Not favorable                 46      90      4      48

Undecided                      7       2      4      15

Haven't heard enough           1       0      1       2

Refused                        1       2      0       1

 

q28 Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Mitt Romney yet to have an opinion?

 

Favorable                     44      85      7      44

Not favorable                 43       9     79      36

Undecided                     11       3     11      17

Haven't heard enough           3       3      3       2

Refused                        0       1      0       0

 

q29 Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Joe Biden yet to have an opinion?  

 

Favorable                     37       6     74      27

Not favorable                 43      83      5      46

Undecided                     10       4      8      19

Haven't heard enough          10       7     14       8

Refused                        0       1      0       0

 

q30 Is your opinion of Paul Ryan favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Paul Ryan yet to have an opinion?

 

Favorable                     35      73      5      32

Not favorable                 34       5     63      29

Undecided                     11       7      7      20

Haven't heard enough          20      15     25      19

Refused                        0       1      0       0

 

q31 In deciding how you will vote for President this year, which ONE of the following issues will be most important to you: 1. terrorism, 2. foreign policy, 3. the economy, 4. the budget deficit, 5. taxes, 6. health care, 7. education or 8. something else?

 

Terrorism                      2       2      2       2

Foreign policy                 5       5      2       7

The economy                   51      66     39      49

Budget deficit                 8      10      4      10

Taxes                          3       3      4       2

Health care                   15      11     20      15

Education                     10       1     22       5

Something else                 5       3      4       9

DK/NA                          2       1      3       3

 

 

 

 

q32 And which one of the following issues will be NEXT most important to you: 1. terrorism, 2. foreign  policy, 3. the economy, 4. the budget deficit, 5. taxes, 6. health care, 7. education or 8. something else?

 

AMONG LIKELY VOTERS WHO CHOSE ECONOMY AS TOP ISSUE IN Q31

                               %     

Terrorism                      9     

Foreign policy                15     

The economy                   2     

Budget deficit                21     

Taxes                         13     

Health care                   27     

Education                     12     

Something else                 0      

DK/NA                          1      

 

q33 Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling each of the following issues - Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Which candidate would do a better job handling the economy and unemployment?

 

** LIKELY VOTERS  **

                                       ***** Party ID ***** 

                             Total   Rep     Dem     Ind 

                               %      %       %       %

Obama                         45       5     89      37

Romney                        51      94      8      56

Both (vol.)                    1       1      2       1

Neither (vol.)                 1       0      0       2

DK/NA                          2       0      1       5

 

q34 Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate would do a better job handling health care?

 

Obama                         48       8     88      44

Romney                        45      86      6      50

Both (vol.)                    1       1      1       1

Neither (vol.)                 2       4      0       2

DK/NA                          3       2      4       4

 

q35 Which candidate do you think would do a better job handling the federal budget deficit -- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

(IF NECESSARY: Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling the federal budget deficit -- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?)

 

Obama                         39       5     80      28

Romney                        54      93     13      61

Both (vol.)                    1       1      2       1

Neither (vol.)                 2       1      2       4

DK/NA                          4       0      3       7

 

 

q36 Which candidate would do a better job handling foreign policy?

(IF NECESSARY: Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling foreign policy – Barack  Obama or Mitt Romney?)

 

** LIKELY VOTERS **

                                       ***** Party ID ***** 

                             Total   Rep     Dem     Ind 

                               %      %      %       %

Obama                         49       8     88      47

Romney                        44      86      7      43

Both (vol.)                    1       1      0       1

Neither (vol.)                 1       2      0       2

DK/NA                          5       3      5       7

 

q37 Which candidate would do a better job handling taxes?

(IF NECESSARY: Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling taxes  -- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?)

 

Obama                         46       6     85      40

Romney                        47      88     11      47

Both (vol.)                    1       2      0       1

Neither (vol.)                 2       2      1       3

DK/NA                          4       2      2       9

 

q38 Which candidate would do a better job handling Medicare?

 

(IF NECESSARY: Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling Medicare -- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?)

Obama                         51      11     91      46

Romney                        42      84      5      43

Both (vol.)                    1       1      0       2

Neither (vol.)                 2       1      1       3

DK/NA                          4       3      3       7

 

q39 Which candidate do you think would do more to help middle classAmericans?

 

(IF NECESSARY: Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do more to help middle class Americans -- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?)

Obama                         52      10     94      47

Romney                        43      88      4      43

Both (vol.)                    1       1      0       1

Neither (vol.)                 1       1      0       2

DK/NA                          4       1      1       8

 

q40 Which candidate do you think would do a better job of dealing with the issue of abortion?

 

(IF NECESSARY: Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job of dealing the issue of abortion -- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?)

Obama                         51      13     89      46

Romney                        39      76      7      38

Both (vol.)                    0       1      0       0

Neither (vol.)                 1       1      0       2

DK/NA                          9       9      4      14

 

 

q41 Which candidate do you think would do a better job of dealing with illegal immigration?

 

(IF NECESSARY: Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job of dealing with illegal immigration -- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?)

 

** LIKELY VOTERS **

                                       ***** Party ID ***** 

                             Total   Rep     Dem     Ind 

                               %      %      %       %

Obama                         42       4     81      36

Romney                        48      88     11      49

Both (vol.)                    1       1      1       1

Neither (vol.)                 3       3      2       5

DK/NA                          6       4      4       8

 

q42 Which candidate do you think would do a better job of dealing with terrorism and national security?

 

(IF NECESSARY: Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job of dealing with terrorism and national security -- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?)

 

Obama                         49      10     89      42

Romney                        44      85      6      46

Both (vol.)                    2      2      2       2

Neither (vol.)                 1       0      1       2

DK/NA                          5       3      2       8

 

q43 Which candidate do you think would work better with both Democrats and Republicans in Congress?

(IF NECESSARY: Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would work better with both Democrats and Republicans in Congress - Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?)

 

Obama                         39       6     80      27

Romney                        50      89      8      57

Both (vol.)                    2       3      2       2

Neither (vol.)                 3       1      3       6

DK/NA                          5       1      6       9

 

q46 Do you think Barack Obama has strong qualities of leadership, or not?

Has                           59      24     94      56

Does not have                 39      75      4      42

Don't know/No answer           2       1      1       2

 

q47 Do you think Barack Obama does or does not understand the needs and problems of people like yourself?

Yes                           59      21     93      59

No                            39      77      7      39

DK/NA                          2       2      0       2

 

q48 Do you think Barack Obama says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?   

 

Says what he believes     50      17     90      38

What people want to hear      47      81      8      57

Don't know/No answer           3       1      2       5

 

q49 How much confidence do you have in Barack Obama's ability to handle an international crisis -- a lot, some, a little, or none at all?

 

** LIKELY VOTERS **

                                       ***** Party ID ***** 

                             Total   Rep     Dem     Ind 

                               %      %      %       %                 

A lot                         40       6     83      26

Some                          22      19     12      36

A little                      15      26      2      19

None at all                   22      48      1      19

Don't know/No answer           1       2      1       1

 

q50 Do you think Barack Obama has made it clear what he wants to accomplish if he were re-elected President, or not?

 

Clear                         57      37     82      48

Not clear                     41      63     16      47

Don't know/No answer           2       0      1       5

 

q51 Do you think Barack Obama's views on most issues are too liberal for you, not liberal enough, or just about right?

                 

Too liberal                   42      77      4      48

Not liberal enough             9       9     10       8

About right                   46      10     84      39

Don't know/No answer           3       4      1       5

 

q52 How much confidence do you have in Barack Obama's ability to make appointments to the Supreme Court -- a lot, some, a little, or none at all?

 

A lot                         40       6     81      27

Some                          19      14     13      29

A little                       9      18      4       6

None at all                   30      58      2      34

DK/NA                          2       3      0       4

 

q53 If he were re-elected President, do you think Barack Obama would raise taxes on people like yourself, or wouldn't he do that?

 

Would                         50      79     18      56

Would not                     42      13     74      37

DK/NA                          8       8      8       7

 

q54 If he were re-elected President, do you think Barack Obama would raise taxes on big business, or wouldn't he do that?

 

Would                         80      82     75      82

Would not                     15      15     19      10

DK/NA                          6       3      6       8

 

q55 Do you think Barack Obama understands the needs and problems of women in the work force, or not?

Yes                           66      40     92      63

No                            29      51      7      32

Don't know/No answer           5      10      1       5

 

 

q58 Do you think Mitt Romney has strong qualities of leadership, or not?

 

** LIKELY VOTERS **

                                       ***** Party ID ***** 

                             Total   Rep     Dem     Ind 

                               %      %      %       %   

Has                           67      94     38      73

Does not have                 30       5     57      25

Don't know/No answer           3       1      6       2

 

q59 Do you think Mitt Romney does or does not understand the needs and problems of people like yourself?

                 

Yes                           49      86     16      51

No                            48      13     83      44

DK/NA                          2       2      1       5

q60 Do you think Mitt Romney says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear? 

 

Says what he believes     42      74     12      45

What people want to hear     54      23     85      51

Don't know/No answer           3       3      3       4

 

q61 How much confidence do you have in Mitt Romney's ability to handle an international crisis -- a lot, some, a little, or none at all?

 

A lot                         30      64      5      27

Some                          27      28     21      33

A little                      15       5     21      17

None at all                   26       3     52      19

Don't know/No answer           2       1      1       4

 

q62 Do you think Mitt Romney has made it clear what he wants to accomplish if he were elected president, or not?

                 

Yes                           53      83     28      51

No                            46      16     71      46

Don't know/No answer           2       1      1       3

 

q63 Do you think Mitt Romney's views on most issues are too conservative for you, not conservative enough, or just about right?

 

Too conservative              35       5     60      37

Not conservative enough       15      12     22      10

About right                   45      82      9      47

Don't know/No answer           6       1      9       6

 

q64 How much confidence do you have in Mitt Romney's ability to make appointments to the Supreme Court -- a lot, some, a little, or none at all?

 

A lot                         31      65      7      26

Some                          27      27     17      36

A little                      11       3     16      12

None at all                   29       3     58      23

DK/NA                          2       2      3       3

 

 

q65 If he were elected President, do you think Mitt Romney would raise taxes on people like yourself, or wouldn't he do that?

 

** LIKELY VOTERS **  

                                      **** Party ID ***

                              Total   Rep     Dem     Ind 

                              %      %      %       % 

Would                         52      25     80      47

Would not                     44      71     16      48

DK/NA                          4       4      4       4

 

q66 If he were elected President, do you think Mitt Romney would raise taxes on big business, or wouldn't he do that?

Would                         23      28     20      22

Would not                     70      59     78      72

DK/NA                          7      14      2       6

 

q67 Do you think Mitt Romney understands the needs and problems of women in the work force, or not?

 

Yes                           46      83     14      44

No                            50      13     83      50

Don't know/No answer           4       4      3       5

 

q68 If elected, how closely do you think Mitt Romney would follow the economic policies of George W. Bush--very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely or not at all closely?

 

Very closely                  27       9     51      19

Somewhat closely              40     49     31      40

Not too closely               18      30      8      18

Not at all closely            12      10      7      19

DK/NA                          4       3      3       5

 

q69 Since he became the Republican nominee, do you think Mitt Romney has become more moderate in his positions, more conservative, or hasn't he changed his positions?

 

More moderate                 33      31     35      33

More conservative             18      16     16      21

Hasn't changed                40      52    34      35

More liberal (Vol.)            0       0      1       0

DK/NA                          8       1     13      10

 

q70 Since becoming president, do you think Barack Obama has become more moderate in his positions, more liberal, or hasn't he changed his positions?

 

More moderate                 26      13     31      32

More liberal                  25      43     12      22

Hasn't changed                44      40     51      41

More conservative (Vol.)       1       0      2       0

DK/NA                          4       4      4       5

 

 

q71 Which comes closest to your view of Barack Obama's economic policies?  1. They are improving the economy now, and will probably continue to do so, or 2. They have not improved the economy yet, but will if given more time, or 3. They are not improving the economy and probably never will.

 

** TOTAL RESPONDENTS  **

                                     ***** Party ID ***** 

                             Total   Rep    Dem     Ind 

                              %      %      %       %

Improving economy             31       6     59      22

Not improved but will         27      14     32      31

Not improving and never will  38      74      5      44

Made economy worse (Vol.)      1       3      0       1

Don't know/No answer           3       2      3       3

 

q73 How much have you heard or read about the recent attack on  the American consulate in Libya and the killing of the U.S. ambassador - a lot, some, or not much?

 

** TOTAL RESPONDENTS  **

                                     ***** Party ID ***** 

                             Total   Rep    Dem     Ind 

                              %      %      %       %

A lot                         47      61     39      45

Some                          30     24     36      29

Not much                      21      15     25      23

None at all (Vol.)             2       0      1       3

DK/NA                          0       1      0       0

 

q74 Do you approve or disapprove of how the Obama Administration hashandled the recent attacks in Libya?

 

Approve                       39      12     66      32

Disapprove                    45      77     18      48

DK/NA                         16      10     16      20

 

q75 Which of these comes closest to your view? 1. Abortion should be generally available to those who want it. 2. Abortion should be available but under stricter limits than it is now. 3.  Abortion should not be permitted.

 

Generally available           46      29     62      42

Available but limits          32      42     24      33

Should not be permitted       20      28     12      21

Don't know/No answer           2       1      1       4

 

q76 What would you like to see Congress do when it comes to the health care law? 1. Expand the health care law, OR 2. Keep the entire health care law as it is, OR 3. Repeal the part of the law that requires Americans to obtain health insurance if they don't have it, but keep the rest of the law intact, OR 4. Repeal the entire health care law.

 

Expand the law                22       6     36      21

Keep entire law in place      21       6     36      17

Repeal the mandate only       19      22     15      21

Repeal the entire law         29      59      4      31

DK/NA                          8       7      8      10

 

 

q77 In order to keep Medicare financially sound, do you think it will be necessary or not necessary to make changes to the program? IF YES: Do you think major changes or minor changes will be necessary?

 

** TOTAL RESPONDENTS  **

                                     ***** Party ID ***** 

                             Total   Rep    Dem     Ind 

                              %      %      %       %

Major changes                 39      52     26      42

Minor changes                 39      35    45      37

No changes                    13       6     21      10

Don't know/No answer           9       8      8      11

 

q78 Which of these two descriptions comes closer to your view of what Medicare should look like for people who are now under 55 who would be eligible for Medicare coverage in about ten years? 1. Medicare should continue as it is today, with the government providing seniors with health insurance, OR, 2. Medicare should be changed to a system in which the government would provide seniors with a fixed amount of money toward purchasing private health insurance or Medicare insurance.

 

Should continue as is         63      46     80      60

Should be changed             29      44     16      31

DK/NA                          7      10     4       9

 

q79 From what you’ve heard or read, do you think Barack Obama is removing U.S. troops from Afghanistan too quickly, not quickly enough, or is he handling this about right?

 

Too quickly                   17      35      4      17

Not quickly enough            24      28     18      28

About right                   52      29     76      47

Don't know/No answer           6       8      2       8

 

q80 Thinking about Iran, which comes closer to your opinion? 1. Iran is a threat to the United States that requires military action now. 2. Iran is a threat that can be contained with diplomacy now. 3. Iran is not a threat to the United States at this time.

 

Threat requiring action now   20      30     11      23

Threat that can be contained  55      59     60      48

Not a threat at this time     16       9     21      16

DK/NA                          8       2      8      13

 

q83 Compared to past presidential campaigns, do you think the campaign this year has been more positive, more negative, or about the same as past campaigns?

 

More positive                 10       8     16       5

More negative                 45      44     44      47

About the same                42      46     37      45

DK/NA                          3       2      3       3

 

q86 Have you been contacted on behalf of either Presidential candidate over the past couple of weeks whether it was by a letter, by e-mail, by telephone, or in person by a campaign worker?

 

Yes, Romney                   10      21      3       8

Yes, Obama                    13       4     26       7

Yes, both                     21      17     20      25

No contact                    54      56     50      57

Don't know/No answer           2       3      0       3

 

 

q87 How concerned are you that you will encounter problems that might prevent you from voting or prevent your vote from being counted accurately - very concerned, somewhat concerned, not very concerned, or not at all concerned?

 

** TOTAL RESPONDENTS  **

                                     ***** Party ID *****    Likely

                             Total   Rep    Dem     Ind    Voters 

                              %      %      %       %    %

Very                          11       8     14       9  10

Somewhat                      17      14     19      16  17

Not very                      13      12     12      15  13

Not at all                    57      64     52      57  59

DK/NA                          2       2      3       2   1

 

q88 In general, would you say the presidential and vice presidential debates have been very important, somewhat important, not very important or not important at all in your voting decision for President?

 

** LIKELY VOTERS  **    

                                    ***** Party ID ***** 

                              Total   Rep    Dem     Ind 

  %      %      %       % 

Very                          34      36     38      29

Somewhat                      32      36     29      31

Not very                      12       8     11      17

Not at all                    21      19     21      23

DK/NA                          0       0      0       1

 

q89 Which one of the following is your main source of political news and information -- Television, Internet, newspaper, radio, talking with others or social media like Facebook and Twitter?

 

*** REGISTERED VOTERS ***    

                                      ***** Party ID ***** 

                             Total  Rep    Dem     Ind 

                               %      %      %       % 

Television                    58      61     65      47

Internet                      21      16     16      29

Newspaper                      7       8      8       7

Radio                          5       9      2       6

Talking with others            3       4      3       3

Social media like Facebook     4       1      4       7

Don't follow politics          0       0      0       1

Other source (Vol.)            0       1      0       1

DK/NA                          1       0      1       1

 

 

                                    Unweighted Weighted

Total Respondents                     898

Total Republicans                     257    242

Total Democrats                       297    321

Total Independents                    344    335

 

Total Registered Voters               798  

 

Total Likely Voters       563

Republican likely voters      175 (31%)

Democratic likely voters                          200 (36%)

Independent likely voters                         188 (33%)





 
10/31/2012 6:34AM
Latest Presidential Poll (Before the Storm)
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